Tuesday, December 29, 2009
I'm Back
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
It's painful
Sunday, December 20, 2009
This is pretty cool
Saturday, December 19, 2009
Health Care Mess
Monday, December 14, 2009
Whackos are everywhere
Thursday, December 10, 2009
Obama's Nobel Peace Prize Acceptance Speech
I listened to parts of Obama’s Nobel Peace Prize speech today and then later downloaded the transcript to see what he actually said rather than relying on the color commentary of the talking heads of cable TV. My first impressions were that it was a somber and thoughtful speech skillfully delivered, but he used a couple of words and phrased that made my ears perk up. Fairly early in the speech, he used the phrase “just war” and listed preconditions for a “just war.” The three conditions he listed were: it is waged as a last resort or in self-defense; the force used is proportional, and whenever possible, civilians are spared from violence.
Those words reminded me of one of the favorite classes given by one of my favorite professors at UW during my ill-fated midlife return to academia six years ago. Anyone who studied history at UW over the last fifty years will remember Professor Jon Bridgman. His explosive barking laugh, his nervous pacing around the podium, and the witty stories he told made him and his lectures memorable. In any case, the class in question was called War and Society, focused on Just War theory using WWI as the case history. We studied Jus ad Bellum, the causes for a just war, and Jus in Bello, morality within war. Jus ad Bellum usually contains a few more preconditions for a just war than Obama listed. A couple of additional preconditions are comparative justice (the grievances leading to war on one side are greater than the grievances of the other) and probability of success (wars should be winnable, not just a vengeful slaughter or a hopeless cause).
A good case can be made that the initial war against Afghanistan in 2003 was a “just” war. America was attacked by forces trained and supported by al Qaeda in Afghanistan; sending in 1000 US forces and airpower to help rebel Afghan forces defeat the Taliban seemed about right proportionally; the USA did nothing to directly provoke the 9/11 attacks, and the probability of success was high. (Sparing civilians from violence is usually considered part of Jus in Bello.) So George W. Bush was probably morally right to go to war in Afghanistan. At the very least, Western world opinion was on the side of America.
What happened afterward is anything but just. Thousands of combatants and non-combatants were rounded up, tortured and held without trial or charges or hope for release, all in clear violation of international law. Including those held in Afghanistan, thousands are still imprisoned nine years later. So much for Jus in Bello.
But now we have a new president who offers change and hope that we and the world, as evidenced by the award of the Nobel Peace Prize, can believe in. He is sending in 30,000 additional troops to augment the 100,000 already there. What conditions exist today in Afghanistan that can possibly justify the war? The Taliban is long gone from government, and according to American intelligence estimates, less than one hundred Al Qaeda members are in the country. Are our troops fighting there in self-defense? Is this a war of last resort? Are the grievances against Afghanistan so great as to require the occupation of the country? What are the chances of success, and how is success defined? By any of the conventional just war arguments, Obama doesn’t have a moral leg to stand on.
Obama’s a brilliant guy, and maybe he is using some of that brilliance to rationalize to himself that he’s doing the right thing. But what’s with the line, “For make no mistake: evil does exist in the world.”? That’s a line right of W’s Manichean playbook. America is good. Our enemies are evil. I often wondered how you can fight evil, a supernatural force, with conventional means. Don’t you need God, or at least a superhero of some description, on your side to do that? Are we fighting a holy war? Is this Armageddon and no one told me?
This was a speech that Bush’s speechwriters may as well have written. The biggest problem is that Barack Obama, the man who was supposed to be everything George W. Bush wasn’t, delivered it.
Update 12/11
At least Obama didn't try to describe the Iraq war as a just war. He mentioned Iraq only obliquely by saying, "One of these wars is winding down." Even Obama, with his formidable intellect, realized there's no way to rationalize the morality of that war.
Wednesday, December 9, 2009
Healthcare Hope
Tuesday, December 8, 2009
Just a few thoughts...
Monday, December 7, 2009
Saturday, December 5, 2009
Afghanistan Costs
Putting Afghanistan Troop Increase Costs in Perspective
Travis | Dec 02, 2009 |Here's a little number crunching on the Afghanistan troop increase. For additional budgetary analysis, see Chris Hellman at NPP and Todd Harrison at CSBA.
Cost of Increase (Updated 1PM)
Adding 30,000 additional U.S. troops to Afghanistan will cost $30 billion during Fiscal Year (FY) 2010 (12/1 speech).
This $30 billion comes in addition to the previously requested FY 2010 defense budget of $68 billion for Afghanistan, $62 billion for Iraq, $534 billion for DOD’s “base” budget, and $22 billion for nuclear weapons and miscellaneous defense needs.
Altogether, the troop increase in Afghanistan will push total U.S. defense spending in FY 2010 to approximately $716 billion.
Fiscal Year 2010 Funding Levels
Estimated DOD war funding now required for FY 2010:
Iraq = $62 billion
Afghanistan = $98 billion
Total = $160 billion (CRS)
Putting Costs in Perspective
References are to fiscal years
In 2010 alone, U.S. military spending on Afghanistan will equal nearly one-half of total spending on the war since 2001.
The United States will spend 92 percent more on military operations in Afghanistan during 2010 than it did during 2009.
In 2010, the troop increase in Afghanistan will cost each individual American taxpayer $195 dollars. (IRS)
In 2010, the troop increase in Afghanistan will cost $2.5 billion per month, $82 million per day, $3.4 million per hour, $57,000 per minute, and $951 per second.
In the time it takes you to read this post, the troop increase in Afghanistan will have cost $85,500.
In 2010, the United States will spend more on Afghanistan than every other country in the world spends on defense individually, with the exception of China. Of course, total U.S. defense spending in 2010, at over $700 billion, will be roughly five times greater than China’s total military budget.
With the additional $30 billion to be spent in Afghanistan during 2010, the United States could:
• Double the amount spent on nuclear nonproliferation, anti-terrorism, and demining ($1.6 billion)
• Double U.S. support of migrants and refugees throughout the world ($3 billion)
• Quadruple the Civilian Stabilization fund for operations in Afghanistan and Iraq ($1.5 billion)
• Triple federal funding for renewable energy research and development ($7.4 billion)
• Double overall contributions to international institutions like the WHO and IAEA ($2.1 billion)
• Double federal funding for DHS First Responder and CDC Disease Prevention programs ($4.2 billion)
• Strengthen capacity of Coast Guard to close off the far-more-likely route of nuclear weapons coming into the United States – through ports ($6 billion) (USB 2010 report)
Wednesday, December 2, 2009
Obama's Speech, Reaction Part II
Tuesday, December 1, 2009
Obama's Speech
Canada, a kinder gentler nation?
Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Health Care Debate
Afghanistan Policy
Israeli Slide Show
Saturday, November 21, 2009
Congratulations Caroline!
Wednesday, November 18, 2009
Kindle Review
Friday, November 13, 2009
Israel recap
We rented a car when I arrived in Tel Aviv and spent the first night in Jaffa. The next morning we hit the road, heading south. We got about as close as you can get to Gaza at this border crossing. This used to be a busy crossing with people going to Israel to work and truckloads of fruit and vegetables crossing every day. But since the Israelis closed the border, it's pretty dead. While there, we talked to a group of Israeli veterans who were demonstrating for the release of an Israeli soldier who's been held by militants inside the strip for over three years now. We heard gunshots while we were talking to the demonstrators. They were unconcerned, saying that the border guards were firing warning shots to keep Arab sheep and shepherds away from the wall.
This is the view from our window at our overnight stop at the "hostel" at Masada. I put hostel in quotation marks because this has got to be the creme de la creme of the hostel world. It's an absolutely gorgeous hostel in a gorgeous setting overlooking the Dead Sea and underlooking (?) the ancient fortress of Masada, and comes complete with a half-size Olympic pool! You may recall that Masada is where something like 900 Jewish Zealots committed suicide in 73AD rather than surrendering to Roman forces in the aftermath of the Second Jewish Revolt.
This is the Israeli flag at dawn over Masada.
After we left Masada, we drove through a sandstorm that reminded me of a snowstorm on the prairies, complete with crappy visibility and drifting sand across the road. It was neat to see a storm like this, but the lousy weather prevented us from stopping for a swim (float?) in the Dead Sea.
And we got so see some camels!
The separation of Israel into Israeli areas wasn't really all that apparent after we left the Gaza border. It was evident on our road map, and was physically evident on this main road to Jericho, a Palestinian controlled area. The road was bulldozed shut. No need for a checkpoint, I guess.
In Galilee we passed signs pointing out the site of the Sermon on the Mount. (Remember the Beatitudes and all that from Sunday School?) Well, apparently it happened here.
I wish I would have had my camera at the breakfast we had at at the Beit Shalom hotel restaraunt in Metula, on the northern border with Lebanon. We had loads of freshly made bread, homemade cheeses, olives, dips and jams. This was the best meal we had in Israel!
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Tel Aviv
And here's a bonus tip for anyone trying to figure out how to walk around the labyrinth of streets in Israel (or anywhere else for that matter), Google Maps has turn-by-turn walking directions! We went and saw Julie and Julia last night at a theater about a half-hour's walk from here. We would never have found the place without the directions from Google. And yes, we both loved the movie!
Sunday, November 8, 2009
Jerusalem
The next day we took a walking tour of the Old City, and then yesterday went to Holocaust Museum Yad Vashem. So now that we've had a couple of days of immersion in Jerusalem, we're off to the Palestinian city of Hebron. It will be an interesting contrast, I'm sure.
Thursday, November 5, 2009
Israel continued
- Israel isn't cheap. If you come here, expect to pay US-type prices
- Swarmas (sp?) are great street food! They're gyros with French bread or pita bread. I love them!
- Israel has been a friendly place. It's interesting to me that the friendliest so far are Arab Christians. I'm surprised there are so many of them.
- Israeli drivers tailgare only slightly less than Greeks.
- I didn't realize you can ski in Israel. We were at the slopes and saw the lifts!
- Israeli sunflower seeds are amazing! Spitz better look out. They have competition!
- It takes some getting used to seeing Israeli soldiers in coffee shops and malls with their guns casually slung over their shoulders.
- I didn't know that Israel grows huge amounts of bananas!
We'll spend a few days in Jerusalem and do some excursions to the Palestinian areas. Later next week, we'll probably go to Jordan for a few days.
One of these days, I'll try and do a post with photos, but so far, I'm too lazy. A good long post might have to wait till I get back
Monday, November 2, 2009
Israel
Thursday, October 22, 2009
I have a new toy
Friday, October 16, 2009
Tattoos
Hot Yoga
Thursday, October 15, 2009
Michael Moore Awards
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
News from Canada
Ps. He's a Conservative, but by American standards, he's a communist. Gay marriage was legalized across Canada under his watch, and he's made no effort to dismantle the single payer health care plan that most Canadians think works reasonably well. And he's a wuss because he's committed to pulling Canadian troops out of Afghanistan in 2011.
Canadian Thanksgiving
Here's Farley getting (and giving) some love from Katrina. He was a big hit with everyone, except possibly with Lucy, Martha's little white mutt. Within about 30 seconds of arriving at Martha's, Farley had managed to vacuum up the entire contents of Lucy's open-feeding dish of dog food. Later in the trip, he managed to eat a half-dozen buns and more off Martha's counter. Like the rest of us, he was well-fed while in Saskatoon.
An extra added bonus on this trip was my Mom's brother Pete's 80th birthday celebration. I got to see a bunch of aunts and uncles and cousins I don't normally see.
Here's the birthday boy himself, with his friend Celeste. There must be good genes on my Mom's side of the family. She has two brothers and a sister over 80.
The weather in Saskatoon was strange. It was cold and windy when I arrived last Tuesday, breaking a nice spell of Indian Summer. Then on Thursday, the snow came. It was odd because the leaves on the trees hadn't even turned brown yet. I wish I would have got a picture of the green leaves that fell off the trees on to the freshly fallen snow. A bit of cognitive dissonance, I'd say.
Another reason for the slow pace was a herd of mountain sheep, licking the salt off the road. There were oblivious to the cars, but Farley wasn't oblivious to them.
As well as being a good sea dog, Farley proved to be a good car dog, and a great companion on the road.